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Canadian Journal of Cardiology
Editorial| Volume 34, ISSUE 12, P1543-1545, December 2018

Searching for an Optimal Systolic Blood Pressure Target: A Balance of Benefits and Risks

Published:August 30, 2018DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cjca.2018.08.037
      Blood pressure (BP) control is of enormous clinical and public health importance, owing to the high prevalence of hypertension and the proven benefits of treatment. Incontrovertible evidence has shown that the treatment of hypertension reduces the risk of major cardiovascular events and death.
      Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Trialists’ Collaboration
      Blood pressure-lowering treatment based on cardiovascular risk: a meta-analysis of individual patient data.
      • Ettehad D.
      • Emdin C.A.
      • Kiran A.
      • et al.
      Blood pressure lowering for prevention of cardiovascular disease and death: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
      • Xie X.
      • Atkins E.
      • Lv J.
      • et al.
      Effects of intensive blood pressure lowering on cardiovascular and renal outcomes: updated systematic review and meta-analysis.
      Even so, optimal treatment targets remain uncertain and continue to be the subject of ongoing debate. In the last year, a controversial shift towards adopting a systolic BP (SBP) target <130 mm Hg was made by the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association,
      • Whelton P.K.
      • Carey R.M.
      • Aronow W.S.
      • et al.
      2017 ACC/AHA/AAPA/ABC/ACPM/AGS/APhA/ASH/ASPC/NMA/PCNA guideline for the prevention, detection, evaluation, and management of high blood pressure in adults: a report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on clinical practice guidelines.
      • Wilt T.J.
      • Kansagara D.
      • Qaseem A.
      Clinical Guidelines Committee of the American College of Physicians
      Hypertension limbo: balancing benefits, harms, and patient preferences before we lower the bar on blood pressure.
      a change that was mostly driven by the results of a landmark study, the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT),
      • Wright Jr., J.T.
      • Williamson J.D.
      • Whelton P.K.
      • et al.
      A randomized trial of intensive versus standard blood-pressure control.
      which reported a significant reduction in major cardiovascular events with an intensive SBP target of <120 mm Hg compared with <140 mm Hg.
      Ongoing difficulty in identifying an optimal SBP target stems from concerns related to the generalizability of the results from SPRINT to populations at large with hypertension, the seemingly discordant results from other major clinical trials examining intensive vs less-intensive treatment goals, and the risk of adverse effects.
      • Wright Jr., J.T.
      • Williamson J.D.
      • Whelton P.K.
      • et al.
      A randomized trial of intensive versus standard blood-pressure control.
      • Group A.S.
      • Cushman W.C.
      • Evans G.W.
      • et al.
      Effects of intensive blood-pressure control in type 2 diabetes mellitus.
      In this issue of the Canadian Journal of Cardiology, Fei et al.
      • Fei Y.
      • Tsoi M.F.
      • Cheung B.M.Y.
      Determining the optimal systolic blood pressure for hypertensive patients: a network meta-analysis.
      present a high-quality network meta-analysis of 14 randomized controlled trials, comprising nearly 45,000 participants, examining the relationship between achieved SBP and the risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Overall, the authors found that lowering SBP to <130 mm Hg, compared with 130-139 mm Hg, resulted in a reduced odds of stroke (odds ratio [OR], 0.83; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.69 to 0.99) and major adverse cardiovascular events (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.73 to 0.96). More intensive SBP lowering to <120 mm Hg led to further reductions in stroke (OR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.87). In light of these findings, the authors suggested implementing an SBP target of <130 mm Hg for older hypertensive individuals at high cardiovascular risk (reflecting the general demographics of the clinical trials included in the study), and considering a lower SBP target of <120 mm Hg for stroke prevention in selected cases, if tolerated.
      The strength of this network meta-analysis is that it allowed for a much larger number of comparisons to be made between mean achieved SBP levels on clinical outcomes, in contrast to traditional meta-analyses, because both direct and indirect comparisons could be incorporated.
      • Lu G.
      • Ades A.E.
      Combination of direct and indirect evidence in mixed treatment comparisons.
      The findings of the study by Fei et al. are highly consistent with reports from other recent network meta-analyses,
      • Bangalore S.
      • Toklu B.
      • Gianos E.
      • et al.
      Optimal systolic blood pressure target after SPRINT: insights from a network meta-analysis of randomized trials.
      • Bundy J.D.
      • Li C.
      • Stuchlik P.
      • et al.
      Systolic blood pressure reduction and risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.
      traditional meta-analyses of clinical trials,
      Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Trialists’ Collaboration
      Blood pressure-lowering treatment based on cardiovascular risk: a meta-analysis of individual patient data.
      • Ettehad D.
      • Emdin C.A.
      • Kiran A.
      • et al.
      Blood pressure lowering for prevention of cardiovascular disease and death: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
      • Xie X.
      • Atkins E.
      • Lv J.
      • et al.
      Effects of intensive blood pressure lowering on cardiovascular and renal outcomes: updated systematic review and meta-analysis.
      • Law M.R.
      • Morris J.K.
      • Wald N.J.
      Use of blood pressure lowering drugs in the prevention of cardiovascular disease: meta-analysis of 147 randomised trials in the context of expectations from prospective epidemiological studies.
      and observational studies,
      • Lewington S.
      • Clarke R.
      • Qizilbash N.
      • Peto R.
      • Collins R.
      Prospective Studies Collaboration. Age-specific relevance of usual blood pressure to vascular mortality: a meta-analysis of individual data for one million adults in 61 prospective studies.
      all broadly showing a linear association between SBP and clinical outcomes, and generally favouring SBP lowering to around 120 to 129 mm Hg for patients with and without diabetes. When considered together, the collective evidence suggests that the treatment of SBP below the traditional target of 140 mm Hg reduces the risk of stroke, major adverse cardiovascular events, and possibly mortality.
      • Ettehad D.
      • Emdin C.A.
      • Kiran A.
      • et al.
      Blood pressure lowering for prevention of cardiovascular disease and death: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
      • Xie X.
      • Atkins E.
      • Lv J.
      • et al.
      Effects of intensive blood pressure lowering on cardiovascular and renal outcomes: updated systematic review and meta-analysis.
      • Fei Y.
      • Tsoi M.F.
      • Cheung B.M.Y.
      Determining the optimal systolic blood pressure for hypertensive patients: a network meta-analysis.
      • Bangalore S.
      • Toklu B.
      • Gianos E.
      • et al.
      Optimal systolic blood pressure target after SPRINT: insights from a network meta-analysis of randomized trials.
      • Bundy J.D.
      • Li C.
      • Stuchlik P.
      • et al.
      Systolic blood pressure reduction and risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.
      How should clinicians go about applying this evidence and where should the “optimal” SBP target be assigned? An intensive SBP treatment target of <130 mm Hg (or even <120 mm Hg in some cases) makes sense for selected high-risk patients, as this is consistent with the trials studied,
      • Fei Y.
      • Tsoi M.F.
      • Cheung B.M.Y.
      Determining the optimal systolic blood pressure for hypertensive patients: a network meta-analysis.
      and aligns with current guideline recommendations (Table 1).
      • Wright Jr., J.T.
      • Williamson J.D.
      • Whelton P.K.
      • et al.
      A randomized trial of intensive versus standard blood-pressure control.
      • Nerenberg K.A.
      • Zarnke K.B.
      • Leung A.A.
      • et al.
      Hypertension Canada’s 2018 guidelines for diagnosis, risk assessment, prevention, and treatment of hypertension in adults and children.
      The more difficult question to answer is whether these findings can be safely extrapolated to lower risk groups or those who are highly vulnerable to adverse drug events. Addressing this, we suggest a few guiding principles to help weigh the expected benefits of intensive BP reduction against the foreseeable harms related to treatment.
      Table 1Criteria used to identify high-risk patients for intensive blood pressure lowering according to major clinical practice guidelines
      Guideline (y)Suggested intensive BP targetCriteria for possible intensive BP loweringCautions and contraindications to intensive BP lowering
      Hypertension Canada (2018)
      • Nerenberg K.A.
      • Zarnke K.B.
      • Leung A.A.
      • et al.
      Hypertension Canada’s 2018 guidelines for diagnosis, risk assessment, prevention, and treatment of hypertension in adults and children.
      < 120/90 mm Hg
      Hypertension Canada recommends a diastolic blood pressure target of < 80 mm Hg for persons with diabetes mellitus, and a diastolic blood pressure target of < 90 mm Hg for all other individuals.
      • Cardiovascular disease, or
      • Chronic kidney disease (nondiabetic nephropathy, proteinuria < 1 g/d, eGFR 20-59 mL/min/1.73 m2), or
      • Estimated 10-y cardiovascular risk of ≥ 15%,
        Estimated using the Framingham Risk Score.
        or
      • Age ≥ 75 y
      • Heart failure (ejection fraction < 35%) or recent myocardial infarction (within last 3 mo)
      • Indication for, but not currently receiving, a β-blocker
      • Institutionalized elderly
      • Diabetes mellitus
      • Prior stroke
      • eGFR < 20 mL/min/1.73 m2
      • Patient unwilling or unable to adhere to multiple medications
      • Standing SBP < 110 mm Hg
      • Inability to measure SBP accurately
      • Known secondary cause(s) of hypertension
      American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (2017)
      • Whelton P.K.
      • Carey R.M.
      • Aronow W.S.
      • et al.
      2017 ACC/AHA/AAPA/ABC/ACPM/AGS/APhA/ASH/ASPC/NMA/PCNA guideline for the prevention, detection, evaluation, and management of high blood pressure in adults: a report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on clinical practice guidelines.
      < 130/80 mm Hg
      • Cardiovascular disease, or
      • Estimated 10-y cardiovascular risk of ≥ 10%
        Estimated using the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Pooled Cohort Equations.
      • Older age ≥ 65 y with high burden of comorbidity and limited life expectancy
      European Society of Hypertension/European Society of Hypertension (2018)
      • Williams B.
      • Mancia G.
      • Spiering W.
      • et al.
      2018 ESC/ESH Guidelines for the management of arterial hypertension.
      < 130/80 mm Hg
      • Initial BP target of < 140/90 mm Hg in all patients; provided that treatment is well tolerated, a lower BP target of < 130/80 mm Hg is recommended in most patients
      • Older age ≥ 65 y
      BP, blood pressure; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; SBP, systolic BP.
      Hypertension Canada recommends a diastolic blood pressure target of < 80 mm Hg for persons with diabetes mellitus, and a diastolic blood pressure target of < 90 mm Hg for all other individuals.
      Estimated using the Framingham Risk Score.
      Estimated using the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Pooled Cohort Equations.
      First, treatment effects are best contextualized in absolute terms according to an individual’s baseline risk. An important limitation of the study by Fei et al.
      • Fei Y.
      • Tsoi M.F.
      • Cheung B.M.Y.
      Determining the optimal systolic blood pressure for hypertensive patients: a network meta-analysis.
      (and most meta-analyses) was their exclusive focus on relative treatment effects in their analyses. In contrast to relative risk measures (eg, OR), measures of absolute risk (eg, absolute risk reduction and the number needed to treat) vary with baseline risk. Measures of absolute risk are particularly useful because they can be used to discriminate between large and small treatment effects to guide therapeutic decisions.
      • Kent D.M.
      • Rothwell P.M.
      • Ioannidis J.P.
      • Altman D.G.
      • Hayward R.A.
      Assessing and reporting heterogeneity in treatment effects in clinical trials: a proposal.
      For example, accepting that the relative odds reduction in major cardiovascular events with an SBP target of <130 mm Hg vs 130-139 mm Hg is constant across different risk strata (16%),
      • Fei Y.
      • Tsoi M.F.
      • Cheung B.M.Y.
      Determining the optimal systolic blood pressure for hypertensive patients: a network meta-analysis.
      • McAlister F.A.
      Commentary: relative treatment effects are consistent across the spectrum of underlying risks.
      the absolute number of events prevented per 1000 patients treated over 10 years ranges from 8 events in low-risk patients to 26 events in those at high cardiovascular risk (assuming a baseline 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease of 5% and 20%, respectively).
      • McQuay H.J.
      • Moore R.A.
      Using numerical results from systematic reviews in clinical practice.
      As shown, interventions applied to lower risk groups tend to be less favourable when conveyed as an absolute measure, but this fact is often obscured if the treatment effect is only expressed in relative terms.
      Second, a decision for intensive BP lowering should always take into consideration the potential risk of treatment-related harms, particularly for people who are elderly and frail, as well as those who have complex comorbidity or limited life expectancy. Further caution should be exercised in lowering diastolic BP ≤60 mm Hg in those with coronary artery disease because of the possible risk of decreased coronary perfusion.
      • Nerenberg K.A.
      • Zarnke K.B.
      • Leung A.A.
      • et al.
      Hypertension Canada’s 2018 guidelines for diagnosis, risk assessment, prevention, and treatment of hypertension in adults and children.
      • Feldman R.D.
      • Padwal R.S.
      Are we endangering hypertensive patients by overzealous treatment that induces diastolic hypotension? A SPRINT to the answer?.
      Most of the evidence informing risks related to intensive BP lowering derives from SPRINT. In that clinical trial, intensive BP lowering to an SBP target of <120 mm Hg compared with <140 mm Hg led to an increase in hypotension (2.4% vs 1.4%), syncope (2.3% vs 1.7%), electrolyte abnormalities (3.1% vs 2.3%), and acute kidney injury (4.1% vs 2.5%).
      • Wright Jr., J.T.
      • Williamson J.D.
      • Whelton P.K.
      • et al.
      A randomized trial of intensive versus standard blood-pressure control.
      Subsequent data from the SPRINT trial indicated that the treatment benefit was similar when stratified by frailty status.
      • Williamson J.D.
      • Supiano M.A.
      • Applegate W.B.
      • et al.
      Intensive vs standard blood pressure control and cardiovascular disease outcomes in adults aged ≥75 years: a randomized clinical trial.
      However, in actual practice, the risk of treatment-related adverse events is likely far greater, as the frequencies of injurious falls and syncope in elderly cohorts have been reported to be 5-fold higher than those observed in the control arm of SPRINT.
      • Sexton D.J.
      • Canney M.
      • O'Connell M.D.L.
      • et al.
      Injurious falls and syncope in older community-dwelling adults meeting inclusion criteria for SPRINT.
      Indeed, it should be remembered that, as a general rule, the benefits of treatment are often overestimated and harms underestimated in clinical trials compared with real-world settings.
      • Heneghan C.
      • Goldacre B.
      • Mahtani K.R.
      Why clinical trial outcomes fail to translate into benefits for patients.
      Clinical trials tend to enroll healthy and motivated individuals who are able to tolerate run-in periods. Participants are more likely to be adherent to treatment protocols and less prone to experiencing serious side effects compared with unselected patients encountered in routine clinical practice. This latter point is crucial to considering the trade-off of benefit and harm associated with implementing an intensive SBP target.
      Finally, amidst all the controversy and debate related to optimal SBP targets, clinicians should be reminded to not allow this debate to detract them from the treatment of hypertension altogether. Indisputable data from a myriad of sources have demonstrated the benefits of SBP lowering to <140 mm Hg in preventing cardiovascular disease in both the young and old.
      Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Trialists’ Collaboration
      Blood pressure-lowering treatment based on cardiovascular risk: a meta-analysis of individual patient data.
      • Ettehad D.
      • Emdin C.A.
      • Kiran A.
      • et al.
      Blood pressure lowering for prevention of cardiovascular disease and death: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
      • Xie X.
      • Atkins E.
      • Lv J.
      • et al.
      Effects of intensive blood pressure lowering on cardiovascular and renal outcomes: updated systematic review and meta-analysis.
      • Bangalore S.
      • Toklu B.
      • Gianos E.
      • et al.
      Optimal systolic blood pressure target after SPRINT: insights from a network meta-analysis of randomized trials.
      • Bundy J.D.
      • Li C.
      • Stuchlik P.
      • et al.
      Systolic blood pressure reduction and risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.
      At the same time, clinicians should recognize that there may not be a single overriding treatment recommendation that applies to all patients. Taken in context, the findings from Fei et al.’s study help to clarify the potential added benefits related to a more intensive SBP reduction of <130 mm Hg in high-risk individuals with hypertension. An “optimal” BP goal is ideally guided by reliable information about benefits and harms for a given individual, and informed by patient preferences. Given that patients are often less likely than physicians to favour drug therapy for a given cardiovascular risk threshold, decision aids may be useful to ensure informed decision making.
      • McAlister F.A.
      • O'Connor A.M.
      • Wells G.
      • Grover S.A.
      • Laupacis A.
      When should hypertension be treated? The different perspectives of Canadian family physicians and patients.
      There may be specific patient profiles (eg, established atherosclerotic disease at high risk of stroke) for which the potential benefits of intensive SBP lowering to <120 mm Hg may be justified, even in light of the recognized risk of serious adverse events. These elements underscore the critical importance of appropriate patient selection in determining BP targets and treatment goals.

      Funding Sources

      A.A. Leung is supported by the Hypertension Canada New Investigator Award.

      Disclosures

      A.A. Leung is a member of Hypertension Canada’s Central Review Committee. R.S. Padwal is on the Board of Directors for Hypertension Canada and also serves as the Co-Chair of Hypertension Canada’s Operations Committee.

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