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Canadian Journal of Cardiology
Clinical Research| Volume 37, ISSUE 11, P1767-1774, November 2021

Assessments of Heart Failure and Frailty-Related Health Instability Provide Complementary and Useful Information for Home-Care Planning and Prognosis

      Abstract

      Background

      Health instability, measured with the Changes in Health and End-Stage Disease Signs and Symptoms (CHESS) scale, predicts hospitalizations and mortality in home-care clients. Heart failure (HF) is also common among home-care clients. We seek to understand how HF contributes to the odds of death, hospitalization, or worsening health among new home-care clients, depending on admission health instability.

      Methods

      We undertook a retrospective cohort study of home-care clients, aged 65 years and older, between January 1, 2010, and March 31, 2015 from Alberta, British Columbia, Ontario, and the Yukon, Canada. We used multistate Markov models to derive adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for transitions to different health instability states, hospitalization, and death. We examined the role of HF and CHESS at 6 months after home-care admission.

      Results

      The sample included 286,232 clients. Those with HF had greater odds of worsening health instability than those without HF. At low-to-moderate admission health instability (CHESS 0-2), clients with HF had greater odds of hospitalization and death than those without HF. Clients with HF and high health instability (CHESS≥3) had slightly greater odds of hospitalization (OR, 1.08; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.02-1.13) but similar odds of death (OR, 1.024; 95% CI, 0.937-1.120) compared with clients without HF.

      Conclusions

      Among new home-care clients, a diagnosis of HF predicts death, hospitalization, and worsening health, predominantly among those with low-to-moderate admission health instability. A diagnosis of HF and admission CHESS score provide complementary information to support care planning in this population.

      Résumé

      Contexte

      L'instabilité d'un état de santé, mesurée à l'aide de l'échelle CHESS (Changes in Health and End-Stage Disease Signs and Symptoms), permet de prévoir les hospitalisations et la mortalité chez les clients des services de soins à domicile. L'insuffisance cardiaque (IC) est également fréquente chez les clients des services de soins à domicile. Nous cherchons à comprendre comment l'IC contribue aux probabilités de décès, d'hospitalisation ou de détérioration de l'état de santé des clients des services de soins à domicile, en fonction de l'instabilité de leur état de santé à l'admission.

      Méthodes

      Nous avons entrepris une étude de cohorte rétrospective des clients des services de soins à domicile, âgés de 65 ans et plus, entre le 1er janvier 2010 et le 31 mars 2015, en Alberta, en Colombie-Britannique, en Ontario et au Yukon, au Canada. Nous avons utilisé des modèles multi-états de type Markovien pour dériver des rapports des cotes (RC) ajustés pour les transitions vers différents états d'instabilité de santé, l'hospitalisation et le décès. Nous avons examiné le rôle de l'IC et du CHESS six mois après l'admission aux services de soins à domicile.

      Résultats

      L'échantillonnage comprenait 286 232 patients. Ceux qui étaient atteints d'IC avaient plus de risque de voir leur état de santé s'aggraver que ceux qui ne l'étaient pas. En cas d'instabilité de l’état de santé de niveau faible à modérée lors de l'admission (CHESS 0-2), les clients atteints d'IC avaient plus de chances d'être hospitalisés et de mourir que les autres. Les clients atteints d'IC et présentant une forte instabilité de leur état de santé (CHESS ≥ 3) avaient un risque légèrement plus élevé d'hospitalisation (RC, 1,08; intervalle de confiance (IC) à 95 %, 1,02-1,13) mais un risque similaire de décès (RC, 1,024; IC à 95 %, 0,937-1,120) par rapport aux clients sans IC.

      Conclusions

      Parmi les nouveaux clients des services de soins à domicile, un diagnostic d'IC prédit le décès, l'hospitalisation et la détérioration de l'état de santé, principalement chez ceux dont l'instabilité de l'état de santé à l'admission est faible à modérée. Un diagnostic d'IC et le score CHESS lors de l'admission fournissent des informations complémentaires pour aider à la planification des soins de cette population.
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